Summary of Damage to U.S. E-commerce from Unfair Chinese Trade
Unfair trade of Chinese products is causing severe losses to the U.S. e-commerce sector, with impacts ranging from intellectual property theft to market share loss and the closure of small businesses.
In electronics, fashion and toys sales alone, they reach values between 20 and 40 billion USD
$12B
Profitability Losses
Losses due to hiring, innovation and investment, as a result of margin reduction
0.1%
USA Products in Chinese e-commerce
Chinese e-commerce sells 0.1% of USA products
30%
American Products in USA
American e-commerce sells 30% of American products in USA
Trade Imbalance
Ideal Balance
Fair and reciprocal trade
American E-commerce
80% Chinese products in China
Chinese E-commerce
Only 0.1% USA products
There is a marked imbalance in trade exchange: while American e-commerce sells 80% of Chinese products in China and 30% of American products in the USA, Chinese e-commerce barely sells 0.1% of US products.
For the year 2023, total e-commerce sales in the U.S. are estimated to be $1,000 billion (1 trillion USD).
Approximately 40% of these sales (i.e., $400 billion) correspond to categories where unfair competition is more noticeable (electronics, fashion, toys, etc.).
Sales Impact: Scenarios
Sensitive Categories
$400 billion in sales
Estimated Loss
Between 5% and 10% of sales
3
Conservative Scenario
$400 billion × 0.05 = $20 billion
Aggressive Scenario
$400 billion × 0.10 = $40 billion
Based on market studies, it is assumed that in these categories there has been a loss in sales attributable to unfair competition of between 5% and 10%.
Profitability Losses
Original Margin
Businesses operated with an 8% margin
Forced Reduction
Competition forces reduction to 5%
Relative Loss
3 percentage points on $400 billion USD
Total Impact
$12 billion USD in lost profitability
If a business operated with an 8% margin and competition forces it to be reduced to 5%, on a sales volume of $400 billion USD, the loss in profitability (without considering other fixed and variable costs) can represent a considerable additional loss.
Chinese unfair trade is transforming e-commerce in the US, displacing domestic businesses.
Impact on Employment and Revenues
It is affecting employment, reducing tax revenues, and compromising innovation.
Need for Corrective Actions
Without urgent corrective actions, the sector could face severe and sustained decline.
Impact on Innovation
Reduction in R&D Investment
Pressure on margins reduces the ability of US companies to invest in research and development.
Disincentive to Creativity
Theft of intellectual property discourages the creation of new products and technologies.
Abandonment of Projects
Many startups and innovative projects are abandoned as they cannot compete with artificially low prices.
Supply Chain Effects
Excessive Dependence
Vulnerability to global disruptions
Logistical Fragility
Concentration of suppliers in one region
Quality Risks
Difficulty in controlling standards
Cost Pressures
Margin reduction across the chain
The excessive dependence on Chinese products makes the US supply chain vulnerable, creating significant risks in the face of any global disruption, as evidenced during the COVID-19 pandemic.
The loss of market share and business closures have a direct impact on employment, affecting hundreds of thousands of American workers across various sectors related to e-commerce.
Consumers develop unrealistic expectations about what products should cost
Devaluation of quality
The acceptance of low-quality and short-lived products becomes normalized
Culture of disposability
A fast and disposable consumption is promoted, with a negative environmental impact
Unfair competition not only affects companies, but also distorts the perception of value among consumers, creating a vicious circle that prioritizes price over quality, sustainability, and fair labor conditions.
Environmental Impact
Carbon Footprint
Transporting millions of individual packages from China generates a significantly larger carbon footprint than traditional bulk distribution.
Disposable Products
Low-quality products have shorter life cycles, generating more waste and contributing to the landfill crisis.
Environmental Regulations
Many products manufactured in China do not meet US environmental standards for materials and manufacturing processes.
Excessive Packaging
Direct-to-consumer individual shipments generate disproportionate amounts of packaging material compared to traditional distribution.
These losses demonstrate the need to review and, if necessary, adjust trade and competition policies to balance the market, as well as to encourage measures that allow local companies to differentiate themselves.
Innovation and added value
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